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Cash Flow Management: The Silent Killer of Profitable Companies

·1388 words·7 mins·
Ben Schmidt
Author
I am going to help you build the impossible.

You are lying in bed at 3:00 AM.

The ceiling fan is spinning above you, but you are not looking at it. You are running a math equation in your head for the fiftieth time.

Payroll is due on Friday. It is currently Tuesday.

You have fifty thousand dollars in accounts receivable. You have clients who love your work. You have a Profit and Loss statement that shows you are making money.

But the bank account shows four thousand dollars.

And payroll is ten thousand dollars. (I wish…)

This is the moment every founder dreads. It is the realization that solvency and profitability are not the same thing. You can be the most profitable company in your sector on paper and still go bankrupt this Friday.

This is the paradox of cash flow.

We are taught in business school or by online gurus to focus on revenue. We celebrate the closed deal. We ring the bell when the contract is signed.

But a signed contract does not buy groceries. It does not pay the server bill. It does not satisfy the IRS.

The only thing that matters is the timing. It is the specific velocity at which money leaves your account versus the velocity at which it enters.

If you do not master this physics problem, your business will die. It will not die because the product is bad. It will die because it ran out of oxygen.

The Illusion of the P&L

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The most dangerous document for a new founder is the Income Statement, also known as the Profit and Loss (P&L).

This document is a lie. Or rather, it is a theoretical construct based on the rules of accrual accounting.

In accrual accounting, when you sign a contract for ten thousand dollars, you record ten thousand dollars in revenue immediately. Your P&L looks fantastic. It says you are rich.

But if the terms of that contract are Net 60, that money is not entering your bank account for two months. Meanwhile, your rent is due on the first. Your employees need to be paid every two weeks. That’s a cash problem. That’s real.

The gap between when you record the sale and when you collect the cash is called the “float.” In that gap, businesses suffocate.

You must learn to ignore the P&L for daily operations. It is a historical document for tax purposes and long-term strategy. It is not a navigational tool.

Instead, you need to focus on the Cash Flow Statement. This document tells the brutal truth. It does not care about what you are “owed.” It only cares about what cleared the bank.

The Gap of Death

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To manage this, we need to visualize the “Cash Conversion Cycle.”

Imagine a timeline. Day zero is the day you spend a dollar. Maybe you buy inventory. Maybe you pay a developer to write code. That dollar is gone.

Day sixty might be the day you sell the product. Day ninety might be the day the customer actually pays you.

That creates a ninety-day window where you are out of pocket. You are essentially acting as a bank for your customer. You are financing their purchase with your own capital.

The longer this cycle, the more cash you need in the bank just to stand still.

If you grow too fast, this gap widens. This creates a phenomenon known as “growing broke.” You double your sales, which doubles your inventory or labor costs today, but the revenue from those sales is still months away. You run out of cash precisely because you are succeeding.

So how do we close the gap?

We have to manipulate the levers of time.

Pulling the Inflow Lever

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The first lever is how fast you get paid.

Founders often accept the default terms of their industry. If everyone does Net 30, they do Net 30. This is a mistake.

You have more power than you think to dictate terms.

The most effective tool is the upfront deposit. Never start work without skin in the game. If you are a service business, ask for fifty percent upfront. This covers your immediate costs and ensures the client is serious.

If you cannot get a large deposit, negotiate for shorter terms. Ask for Net 15 or “Due on Receipt.”

You can also use financial incentives. The term “2/10 Net 30” is an old accounting trick. It means the client gets a 2 percent discount if they pay within 10 days; otherwise, the full amount is due in 30 days.

Many large companies will jump at a guaranteed 2 percent return on their cash. For you, losing 2 percent of the revenue is worth gaining twenty days of liquidity.

It is also critical to automate the nagging. If you are manually sending invoice reminders, you will forget. Use software that automatically emails the client three days before the due date, on the due date, and every day after the due date until paid.

Do not be shy about this. You performed the work. You deserve the capital.

Pushing the Outflow Lever

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The second lever is how slowly you pay others.

This requires ethical calibration. You do not want to be the company that starves its small vendors. However, if you are dealing with large software companies or massive suppliers, you should maximize your terms.

If a vendor requires immediate payment, ask for Net 30. If they offer Net 30, ask for Net 60.

Keep your cash in your account as long as possible. That cash is your buffer against the unexpected.

This is also where credit cards can be a strategic tool, not a debt trap. If you pay a vendor with a credit card on the first of the month, and you pay off that credit card statement thirty days later, you have effectively created a free thirty-day loan.

But this only works if you pay the balance in full. If you carry interest, you destroy the value.

The 13-Week Forecast

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How do you sleep at night without worrying about the Tuesday payroll panic?

You build a 13-Week Cash Flow Forecast.

Why thirteen weeks? Because that is one quarter. It is far enough into the future to see problems coming, but close enough to be accurate.

This is not a complex financial model. It is a simple spreadsheet.

The columns are the next thirteen weeks. The rows are your categories.

Row one is “Cash on Hand at Start of Week.”

Then list your estimated inflows. Be conservative. If a client says they will pay on Friday, assume they will pay the following Wednesday.

Then list your known outflows. Rent. Payroll. Software subscriptions. Loan payments.

The bottom row is “Cash on Hand at End of Week.”

Update this spreadsheet every single Monday morning. It should be a religious ritual.

When you do this, you will see the future. You will see that in Week 7, your cash balance dips below zero.

Panic is the result of surprise. If you know six weeks in advance that you will have a shortfall, you have options. You can delay a hire. You can push hard on collections. You can draw on a line of credit.

You can solve the problem while you are calm, rather than when you are desperate.

The Psychology of Scarcity

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There is a final unknown variable here. It is how cash flow affects your decision making.

When cash is tight, you make bad decisions. You take on bad clients just to get the deposit. You offer discounts that destroy your margin. You stop investing in marketing, which hurts your future sales.

This creates a death spiral.

By managing cash flow proactively, you buy yourself the luxury of long-term thinking. You can say no to the toxic client because you know you have enough runway to survive without them.

We need to stop viewing cash management as a boring administrative task for the accountant.

It is the primary job of the CEO.

Cash is the blood of the business. You can survive without a marketing strategy for a month. You can survive without a product roadmap for a month.

But if you run out of blood, the heart stops beating immediately.

So stop looking at the P&L.

Look at the bank account. Look at the timing. Master the flow.