In the subscription economy, Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) is the primary metric used to gauge the health and size of a business. It represents the value of the recurring revenue components of your term subscriptions normalized for a single calendar year.
Think of it as the baseline income your company can expect to receive over the next year if nothing changes. No new customers added, and no current customers leaving.
It is distinct from total revenue. Total revenue includes everything.
ARR excludes one-time fees. It excludes professional service charges. It excludes training fees.
If the money does not happen automatically every year, it is not ARR. This metric focuses entirely on the predictable, repeatable income that makes the Software as a Service (SaaS) business model so attractive to investors.
How to Calculate It
#The math is deceptively simple, yet founders often complicate it.
If you have monthly contracts, the formula is:
- Monthly Recurring Revenue (MRR) x 12
If you have annual contracts, the ARR is simply the value of that contract for one year.
Where it gets tricky is with multi-year deals.
If a customer signs a three year contract for $30,000, your ARR is not $30,000. It is $10,000. You must normalize the total contract value (TCV) to a one year period.
This normalization allows you to compare customers with different billing cycles on an apples-to-apples basis.
ARR vs. Recognized Revenue
#This is where many first time founders get confused. ARR is a metric. Recognized revenue is an accounting standard.
They are rarely the same number.
If a customer pays you $12,000 upfront for a year of service on January 1st, your cash balance goes up by $12,000. Your ARR is $12,000.
However, your recognized revenue for January is only $1,000. You earn the revenue as you deliver the service month by month.
ARR tells you the momentum of the business. Recognized revenue tells you the accounting reality for tax and audit purposes. And cash is different then both of those.
You need to track both, but they serve different masters. ARR is for your growth strategy and your investors. Recognized revenue is for your accountant and the IRS.
Why Investors Fixate on It
#When you speak to venture capitalists, they will ask for your ARR. They will likely value your company based on a multiple of your ARR.
Why is this the standard?
It comes down to predictability. In a traditional business model, you have to resell your product to your customers every year. In a subscription model, you only have to ensure they do not cancel.
This predictability reduces risk.
It allows you to model future cash flows with higher accuracy. If you know you have $1 million in ARR and a churn rate of 5%, you can confidently hire engineers and rent office space knowing the money will be there.
The Unknowns
#While ARR is a powerful tool, it does not show the whole picture.
It does not account for payment terms. You can have high ARR and zero cash in the bank if everyone pays monthly. It does not account for the cost to serve the revenue.
As you build, you must ask if your ARR growth is efficient. Are you spending $2.00 to acquire $1.00 of ARR? That is a question the metric alone cannot answer.


